OttoTrader Backtest Report

Buyer-safe marketplace performance summary. Strategy rules and import data are not included.

Generated: 2026-05-19 00:40:19

PairBTC/USDT:USDT
ExchangeBinance
Market TypePerpetual Futures
StrategyMarketplace Strategy (logic redacted)
Candle Interval30m
Lookback7d
Data Range2026-05-11 21:30 -> 2026-05-18 21:00
Candles Tested336
Leverage20x
Margin ModelIsolated account model
Starting Balance
$10,000.00
Ending Balance
$10,129.79
Win Rate
50.00%
Total Trades
2
Trade Size
3% of balance
Total PnL
$129.79
Winning Trades
1
Max Drawdown
1.72%

Trade Outcome Breakdown

2segments total
Wins: 1
Losses: 1
Flat: 0

Balance Composition Snapshot

10129segments total
Starting Capital: $10,000.00
Net Profit: $129.79
Net Loss: $0.00
Plain-English Guide

How to Read This Report

A backtest is research, not a promise. It shows what the strategy would have done on historical candles using the assumptions listed below. Live results can differ because of spread, slippage, order fills, latency, exchange rules, and changing market conditions.

Public Report This version is designed for buyers: it keeps the performance proof and key assumptions visible, but hides strategy rules, import data, exact reconstruction details, and machine context.
Ending Balance The simulated account value after all closed trades and modeled costs in this report.
Total PnL Profit or loss after fees, slippage, spread, and funding estimates when those settings were enabled.
Win Rate The share of trades that made money. A high win rate can still be risky if losing trades are large.
Max Drawdown The largest fall from a previous balance high. This is the pain level to watch before trusting profit numbers.
Amount vs Balance at Open Amount is what the strategy allocated to a trade. Balance at Open is the account balance immediately before that trade started.
Liq. Event Whether the simulated account reached its modeled liquidation danger threshold during a trade. Exact liquidation prices are hidden in public reports.

Strategy Visibility

Shared LevelMarketplace Public Report
StrategyMarketplace Strategy (logic redacted)
ExchangeBinance
Market / RiskPerpetual Futures | 20x | isolated
Candle SourceBinance OHLCV via ccxt (Perpetual Futures, 30m)
Import Back Into OttoTraderDisabled for this report export
Privacy NoteStrategy rules, builder configuration, exact trade path details, local machine data, and embedded import payloads were intentionally omitted.

Chart Source Notes

Backtest candlesBinance OHLCV via ccxt (Perpetual Futures, 30m)
Intrabar replayOff. OttoTrader used the selected candle interval only.
RenderingHTML report charts are reconstructed from the fetched backtest candles and are not TradingView-native renders.

Realism & Credibility Assumptions

Schema Version2026-04-17.v1
PresetInstitutional Stress Test
Feescustom | maker 10.00 bps | taker 10.00 bps
Slippage / Spreadfixed_bps 8.00 bps | fixed_bps 4.00 bps
Partial Fillsconservative | max ratio 0.75
Fundingfixed_8h_bps | 1.00 bps / 8h
Liquidation Modelapproximate_futures
Same-Candle Policyconservative
Intrabar ReplayOff. OttoTrader used the selected candle interval only.
Validationwalk_forward | train 70.0%
Monte CarloEnabled | 1,000 iterations
Overfit WarningEnabled
Execution StatusApplied by engine
Preset: Institutional Stress Test Fees: custom | maker 10.00 bps | taker 10.00 bps Slippage: fixed_bps | 8.00 bps Spread: fixed_bps | 4.00 bps Entry partial fills: conservative | max entry fill ratio 0.75 Funding: fixed_8h_bps | 1.00 bps / 8h Liquidation model: approximate_futures Same-candle policy: conservative Validation: walk_forward | train 70.0% | walk-forward windows 4 Monte Carlo: enabled (1,000 iterations) Overfit warning: enabled Execution status: applied by engine Fee, adverse-slippage, spread, deterministic entry partial-fill quantity reduction, futures funding, approximate liquidation, validation, Monte Carlo, and overfit controls are applied where the selected model supports them. These are simulation estimates, not exchange guarantees.

Validation, Robustness & Overfit Checks

Validation ModeWalk-forward
Profitable Windows1 / 4
Median Window Return0.00%
Worst Window Return-0.12%
Segment 1WF Window 1 Train | end $10,000.00 | trades 0 | DD 0.00%
Segment 2WF Window 1 Validation | end $10,000.00 | trades 0 | DD 0.00%
Segment 3WF Window 2 Train | end $10,000.00 | trades 0 | DD 0.00%
Segment 4WF Window 2 Validation | end $10,000.00 | trades 0 | DD 0.00%
Segment 5WF Window 3 Train | end $10,000.00 | trades 0 | DD 0.00%
Segment 6WF Window 3 Validation | end $10,141.67 | trades 1 | DD 0.00%
Segment RowsShowing first 6 of 8 segments. Full compact validation data is preserved in the embedded report context.
Monte CarloRan
MC Iterations1,000
MC p05 Return1.29%
MC Loss Path Rate2.4%
MC Ruin Path Rate0.0%
Overfit RiskHigh overfit risk
Overfit Score90 / 100
Walk-Forward Validation: 1/4 profitable windows | median 0.00% | worst -0.12% Validation warning: Fewer than half of walk-forward windows were profitable. Monte Carlo: 1,000 paths | p05 return 1.29% | median DD 0.12% | loss paths 2.4% | ruin paths 0.0% Overfit warning: High overfit risk (90/100) Overfit signal: Low trade count makes the result statistically fragile. Overfit signal: Very high profit factor with limited trades can indicate curve fitting. Overfit signal: Many tunable parameters relative to trade count increases overfit risk. Overfit signal: Fewer than half of walk-forward windows were profitable.

Execution Cost Breakdown

Gross PnL Before Costs$172.90
Net PnL After Costs$129.79
Total Fees$17.97
Total Slippage Cost$14.38
Total Spread Cost$3.59
Rejected / Partial Fills0 / 2
Average Fill Ratio0.88
Execution costs are deterministic simulations from the selected fee, adverse slippage, and half-spread assumptions. They are estimates, not exchange guarantees or tick-level queue simulation.

Futures Funding & Liquidation

Funding Fees$7.16
Funding Modelfixed_8h_bps | 1.00 bps / 8h
Liquidation Modelapproximate_futures
Simulated Liquidations0
Worst Distance To Liq212.46%
Margin Modeisolated
Approximate futures credibility checks were evaluated from OHLC candles and selected assumptions. This is not exchange mark-price, maintenance-margin, or order-book liquidation precision.

Backtest Assumptions

Execution ModelPerpetual futures long/short model with leverage, TP/SL, and strategy exits.
Risk Settings20x leverage. Futures backtests use the simulated account as isolated collateral; no extra wallet funds are assumed.
Execution Realismold fib retrace generic realism used 0.1000% commission/side, 8.00 bps adverse slippage/side, 4.00 bps spread assumption, and conservative stop-first pending same-candle handling (bar-close entries only).
Intrabar ReplayOff. OttoTrader used the selected candle interval only.
Historical SourcePublic Binance candles fetched locally.
Export ScopePublic marketplace summary. Strategy logic, import data, exact trade path details, and machine context are omitted.

Public Marketplace Summary

Buyer-safe summary of the backtest. It shows the headline performance, risk context, and redacted trade proof without exposing strategy rules, builder configuration, exact entry/exit timing, reconstruction context, or embedded OttoTrader import data.

Pair Total Trades Wins Losses Flat Win Rate Net PnL Max Drawdown
BTC/USDT:USDT 2 1 1 0 50.00% $129.79 1.72%

Trade #1

Time-redacted public trade proof

SHORT END_OF_RANGE $-11.87
Net PnL$-11.87
PnL %-5.20%
Duration4-24h
Fill75%
Entry Price77,038.78
Exit Price77,064.89
Filled Amount$228.19
Balance at Open$10,141.67
Leverage20x
Exit TypeEND_OF_RANGE
Modeled Costs$19.46
Fill Ratio75%
Duration4-24h
Liq. Event-

Trade #2

Time-redacted public trade proof

SHORT TAKE_PROFIT $141.67
Net PnL$141.67
PnL %62.96%
Duration3d+
Fill75%
Entry Price79,538.28
Exit Price76,772.62
Filled Amount$225.00
Balance at Open$10,000.00
Leverage20x
Exit TypeTAKE_PROFIT
Modeled Costs$23.65
Fill Ratio75%
Duration3d+
Liq. Event-

Public Trade Proof Ledger

Every closed trade is listed, but exact entry time, exact exit time, setup context, signal markers, reason text, and trade reconstruction details are intentionally removed. This keeps credibility visible without giving away how the strategy decides when to trade.

# Side Entry Exit Filled Amount Balance at Open Lev Exit Type Fill Duration Modeled Costs Liq? PnL % PnL $
1 SHORT 77,038.78 77,064.89 $228.19 $10,141.67 20x END_OF_RANGE 75% 4-24h $19.46 - -5.20% $-11.87
2 SHORT 79,538.28 76,772.62 $225.00 $10,000.00 20x TAKE_PROFIT 75% 3d+ $23.65 - 62.96% $141.67